农业对气候变化的适应性成为学术界关注的热点问题之一.本文从适应性概念演变,农业适应性影响因素,适应性措施,适应性评估,适应性政策形成框架等多个方面,对农业适应性的研究内容和方法进行系统地梳理,并对相关模型进行归类和重点阐述.梳理发现,农业适应性研究,理论上是基于可持续发展理论,逐步形成了农业适应性政策框架体系和农业适应性科学雏形;在方法上,既包含简单的定性定量分析,也存在复杂的集成评估模型;空间尺度涉及全球,地区,国家,地方和个人.基于此,本文从可持续发展理论出发,修订了农业适应性科学的研究框架,提出了未来农业适应性研究的方向,包括:形成农业适应性科学,构建农业适应性的方法论体系,展开农业适应性决策行为的研究和拓展农业适应性评估方法.
Under the influence of climate change,the research about agricultural adaptation to climate change has been one of the hot topics in the world.In this study,we focus on the research progress of agricultural adaptation science,especially the relationships between climate change and agriculture development.The study discusses the definition,influence factors,adaptation measures and assessment,adaptive policy framework and science about agricultural adaptation.Moreover,we also introduce and discuss various models about the agriculture adaptation researches.According to the review of former studies,we find that most of the agricultural adaptation researches are based on the theory of sustainable development,and there has been an useful agricultural adaptive policy framework and the agricultural scientific has been initially established.There are several methods to focus on resolving the agricultural adaptation problems,which include qualitative analysis,quantitative computation and complex integration evaluation model.The research of agricultural adaptation may involve several different scales,changing from the personal scale,local space scale,national scale,regional scale,and finally up to the global scale.Due to the incompleteness,multidiscipline,and the diversity of participant of the agricultural adaption research system,it’s suggested that the study of agriculture adaptation should comprehensively draw the advantages of other disciplines(such as ecology,geography,economics,sociology and environmental science)and also reference study methods from these multidisciplinary,by using the survey data of micro scale and macro scale,and also on the basis of information technology and modern space cognitive behavioral technology,finally to construct the theory and method system of agricultural adaptation science.Finally,we put forward the future agriculture adaptation research topic,including forming agricultural science adaptability,building agricultural adaptive methodology system,and expanding research on agricul