运力过剩是现阶段国际干散货航运市场面临的重要难题,引起干散货航运市场持续低迷.为了揭示干散货航运市场运力供给的发展,阐述了干散货航运市场运力供给现状以及未来的发展趋势,应用系统动力学方法建立未来运力供给模型,对影响干散货航运市场运力供给的各种因素及相互制约关系进行了分析,提出了应对运力过剩问题的若干调整策略.
Surplus power is an important problem of international dry bulk shipping market, causing the market remained sluggish. In order to reveal the shipping power development, the shipping power situation and future trend are introduced. System dynamics method is applied to build the future ship- ping power model, the relationship of various factors affecting shipping power of dry bulk shipping market is analyzed. Adjustment strategy to deal with the problem of surplus power is proposed to guide the stable trend of the dry bulk shipping market.