选取30省(自治区、直辖市)行政单位作为基本空间单元,依据2004—2015年中国统计年鉴和中国能源统计年鉴数据,对中国人均能源生态足迹进行核算,在此基础上运用STIRPAT模型的变式,采用空间计量经济学的方法,分析人均能源生态足迹影响因素的空间效应。研究结果表明:从2003年到2014年中国人均能源生态足迹呈现不断上升的态势;期间中国人均能源生态足迹存在着显著的全局空间集聚效应;中国省域人均能源生态足迹存在较为显著的空间正相关性;人均GDP和建筑业总产值的提升对中国人均能源生态足迹有着正向的空间影响,新型城镇化的进程、提升规模以上工业企业的产出效率和高新技术产业的发展均有利于降低人均能源生态足迹。
In this research, 30 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) are selected as the basic space unit. Based on the 2004--2015 China Statistical Yearbook and China Energy Statistical Year- book, the energy ecological footprint per capita of China is calculated. Based on the variance of the STIRPAT model, this paper uses the method of spatial econometrics to analyze the spatial effect of in- fluencing factors of energy ecological footprint per capita. The results show that there is a rising trend of energy ecological footprint per capita in China in the past 12 years. There is a significant global spatial agglomeration effect in China's energy ecological footprint per capita between 2003 and 2014. The pro- vincial energy ecological footprint per capita shows a significant positive correlation. The increase of the GDP per capita and the gross output of the construction industry had a positive spatial impact on the en ergy ecological footprint per capita of China. The process of new urbanization, to enhance the output ef ficiency of industrial enterprises above the designated size and the development of high-tech industries are conducive to reducing the ecological footprint of per capita energy.