中文摘要：

为了更准确地计算近炸射击高炮系统的点射毁伤概率,将射击诸元误差按误差源进行了分解;分析了各射击诸元误差分量的时间相关性;结合高炮系统的组织结构,分析了同一时刻各射击诸元误差分量的重复性;给出了弱相关误差序列的随机生成方法;在上述基础上,随机生成点射的射击诸元误差分量、射弹散布和起爆角,并计算点射射击误差;进而结合坐标毁伤定律,计算点射毁伤概率。

英文摘要：

In order to more accurately calculate the kill probability of burst fire in proximity fuse antiaircraft gun system,the firing data errors were separated according to error sources.The time relativity of each firing data error component was analyzed.Considering the organization of different antiaircraft gun systems,the repeatability of each firing data error component at the same time was analyzed.The random generation method of weak correlated error series was given.Based on the above discussion,the firing data error components,projectiles distribution and detonated angles of one burst fire were generated randomly,and the shooting errors were calculated.Finally,according to the coordinate damage law,the kill probability was calculated.