基于中国加入WTO十多年来上海及长三角地区主要经济指标,运用了曲线拟合、灰色预测、灰色关联度等方法,构建WTO影响力、地区经济关联度等模型,使用MTALAB、EXCEL软件进行求解,研究得到中国加入WTO对上海第三产业的商业、运输业、服务业、金融业、保险等行业的增长影响较大,对第一、二产业增长影响较弱;上海对长三角城市影响发生三次变化,对长三角地区中浙江省、江苏省、安徽省合肥市的经济影响较大。
Based on the main economic indicators of Shanghai and the Yangtze River Delta region, during more than ten years when China accessed to the WTO , using the curve fitting, grey prediction, grey correlation degree, etc. , to build WTO influence, regional economic relations and other models. We used MTALAB, EXCEL software to solve the problems. The results represented that WTO had a significant impact on Shanghai tertiary industry which includes transportation, service, insurance and other industries but had a weak impact on first industry and second industry. There were changes of economic influence between Shanghai and the cities in Yangtze River for three times, among which the most impact was on Jiangsu Province, Hefei Province, Zhejiang Province and Anhui province.