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中文摘要：
利用济南市卫生局提供的2003年儿童气管炎患者的病例资料和济南市气象局提供的2003年气象资料，对济南地区儿童气管炎疾病与气象资料的关系进行研究．通过相关性分析，用多元回归方法建立了儿童气管炎发病人数的日预报方程．然后对数据进行处理，按季节建立了儿童气管炎与气象要素之间的日预报方程．
英文摘要：
By using statistics of children tracheitis provided by Jinan Health Bureau and meteorological data provided by Jinan Meteorological Bureau, we study the relations between children tracheitis and weather conditions in Jinan area. Firstly, we use multiple-regression to establish the one-day-forecast regression equation on the relations between multiple meteorological factors and the Cases of children tracheitis. Secondly, by using 3d data smoothing and standardization and demarcating four seasons from the climatic point, we establish the so called Daily Forecasting Equation on the relations between children tracheitis cases and meteorological elements with multi-level regression.
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