中文摘要：

基于系统建模的思想,构建了煤炭产业链的自组织演化系统动力学模型,以淮北矿业集团为例,通过分析煤-电、煤-化工和煤-焦化等煤炭产业链的发展现状,对三种类型产业链的演化过程进行了模拟分析,结果发现煤炭产业链整体的演化轨迹符合Logistics方程所描述的S形曲线趋势。最后,依据仿真结果为煤炭产业链的发展和延伸提供了相关建议。

英文摘要：

The coal industry chain is an open,nonlinear,far from equilibrium self-organization system.So we need to study from a systematic viewpoint on the evolutional process of the coal industry chain,and combine with micro and macro environment for having competition relationship between different evolutional forms of that industry chain.We take Huaibei Mining Group as an Example Modeling Based on the idea of building the coal industry chain of self-organized evolution of system dynamics model,through the analysis of three types of industry chain,i.e.,coal-electricity,coal-chemical and coal-coking,such as development status,the evolution process of the simulation analysis and found that the evolution of the coal industry chain trajectory consistent with the overall equation described Logistics S-curve trend.Finally the paper puts forward some suggestions according to the simulation results for the coal industry chain,development and extension.