绿色与民生将成为未来中国发展的两大主题,作为兼顾降低碳排放与提高人们福祉双重目标的低碳发展理应发挥其重要的助推力作用,由此有必要深化低碳发展的理论与实证研究。当前,有关低碳经济发展研究文献的共同点是:虽然都意识到了自然资本对人类发展的重要性,但并未脱离新古典经济学的思维,本质上仍然把生态系统视为经济系统的附属品;主要关注碳排放的GDP产出,而对HDI等福利产出则没有给予足够重视。今后有必要将现有的低碳型经济的分析框架推进到低碳型发展的分析框架,深入研究经济增长与福利的关系,建立基于福利绩效的碳生产率与脱钩指标,并进一步对福利绩效进行因素分解分析,以明晰促进中国低碳发展的关键领域和方面。
Green society future development. As while enhancing human and quality of life will be two major themes of China's low-carbon development means to reduce carbon emission well-being, it should become the main impetus of China's future development. Therefore, theoretical and empirical researches on low-carbon development must be encouraged. Although contemporary literature all recognizes the importance of natural capital for human development, the majority still sticks to the neo-classic paradigm of growth as ecological resources are basically understood as an economic factor of production. The focus on GDP rather than indicators of human well-being such as HDI is causing problems for social develop- ment. The paper proposes an analytical framework of low-carbon development, examines the relationship between economic growth and human well-being, reconstruct an indicator system of carbon productivity and analyzes the factors contrib- uting to human well-being. It is believed that these efforts will help reorient China's development in the low-carbon direction.