建立了布鲁氏菌病在羊群和人之间传播的耦合非自治动力学模型,对所建模型的动力学性态作了说明,包括基本再生数、无病周期解和正周期解.通过对兴安盟人间病例数据的拟合,验证了模型的合理性,并对参数敏感性进行了分析.
A coupling nonautonomous dynamical model about brucellosis transmission between sheep and human is established.Firstly,the dynamical behavior of model is illustrated,including the basic repro-duction number,disease-free periodic solution and positive periodic solution.Moreover,the rationality of the model is confirmed by data fitting of human infection cases in Hinggan League.Lastly,parameter sensi-tivity is analyzed.