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Do China Mainland and SARs Constitute an Optimal Currency Area?Evidence from Nonlinearity and Stationarity Behavior Testing on Real Exchange Rates
  • ISSN号:1003-7624
  • 期刊名称:《投资研究》
  • 时间:0
  • 分类:F831[经济管理—金融学]
  • 作者机构:[1]Post-Doctoral Research Station, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Shanghai 200433, China, [2]Post-Doctoral Workstation, Xiamen International Bank, Xiamen 361001, Fujian, China
  • 相关基金:the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.71373219)
中文摘要:

In this article, we use the unrestricted two-regime autoregressive threshold model to test both nonlinearity and stationarity of China’s real exchange rate against its Hong Kong and Macau special administrative regions(SARs). Our main finding is that China’s real exchange rate is neither linear nor stationary, indicating that the purchasing power parity does not hold between China Mainland and its two SARs, which implies, to certain extent, the three economies may not meet the condition of constituting an optimal currency area.更多还原

英文摘要:

In this article, we use the unrestricted two-regime autoregressive threshold model to test both nonlinearity and stationarity of China's real exchange rate against its Hong Kong and Macau special administrative regions(SARs). Our main finding is that China's real exchange rate is neither linear nor stationary, indicating that the purchasing power parity does not hold between China Mainland and its two SARs, which implies, to certain extent, the three economies may not meet the condition of constituting an optimal currency area.

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期刊信息
  • 《投资研究》
  • 北大核心期刊(2011版)
  • 主管单位:中国建设银行股份有限公司
  • 主办单位:中国建设银行股份有限公司
  • 主编:
  • 地址:北京市金融大街25号
  • 邮编:100033
  • 邮箱:ris@ccb.com
  • 电话:010-67596061
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1003-7624
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:11-1389/F
  • 邮发代号:
  • 获奖情况:
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 中国中国人文社科核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2004版),中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2000版)
  • 被引量:5464