针对现有的非常规突发事件演化分析缺乏完善的模型集成方法,从非常规突发事件应急管理客观系统本原的角度出发构建其知识元及其网络模型;基于知识元及其网络模型提出适用于事件演化分析的形式模型表示及其实例化方法;考虑到非常规突发事件演化过程的时空特征,提出时间调度引擎及空间调度引擎的概念,进而给出时空约束条件下的动态模型集成方法。算例分析证明了该方法的有效性。
To solve the problem of lacking sophisticated model integration method in emergency management field, a kind of knowledge unit representation model and its network model is constructed from the primitive angle of emergency management system. This knowledge unit model could be used to represent the formal model and its instantiation. Through giving the concept of time scheduling engine and space scheduling engine, a kind of dynamic model integration method based on space-time constraints is proposed. In the end of the pa- per, an example is analyzed to prove the efficiency of the method.