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江西省城市化与生态环境关系的动态计量分析
  • ISSN号:1007-7588
  • 期刊名称:《资源科学》
  • 时间:0
  • 分类:X171.1[环境科学与工程—环境科学] X511.02[环境科学与工程—环境工程]
  • 作者机构:[1]南昌大学中国中部经济发展研究中心,南昌330047, [2]华中科技大学公共管理学院,武汉430074
  • 相关基金:国家社科基金(编号:07CJL031);中国博士后基金项目(编号:20060400249);江西省社科规划项目(编号:06JL13).
作者: 刘耀彬[1,2]
中文摘要:

以江西省为例,在对城市化综合水平与生态环境综合质量进行测度的基础上。利用协整检验、格兰杰因果检验、脉冲响应函数及方差分解模型,对其城市化与生态环境之间的关系进行了动态计量分析。研究显示:①改革开放以来,江西省城市化综合水平逐步提高,而江西省生态环境综合质量及其分量则呈现出各自变化特征;②江西省城市化综合水平变化是生态环境综合质量、生态环境压力、生态环境响应的格兰杰因果原因。而城市化综合水平提高与生态环境状态变化之间互不为格兰杰因果原因;③江西省生态环境综合质量指数、生态环境压力指数和生态环境响应指数的波动一直受到自身及城市化综合水平的影响,且受城市化综合水平的负冲击影响要小于自身波动的正影响,只是生态环境综合质量指数和生态环境压力指数受自身的影响到第8期以后都基本稳定,而同期生态环境响应指数受城市化综合水平波动的影响则逐步加强。

英文摘要:

There are complex relationships between urbanization and the ecological environment in different regions and different phases of urbanization. This paper explores the interactive process and quantitative mechanisms in Jiangxi province. We describe the index systems and evaluate models of comprehensive indexes of urbanization level and ecological quality using Principal Component Analysis and Hierarchical Synthesis Method. The results demonstrate causal relationships between urbanization index and environmental indices using the Granger Causality Test Method. Finally, the paper analyzes the dynamic process from 1978 - 2005 with impulse-response function and variance decomposition. The comprehensive indices of urbanization level and ecological quality show that the level of urbanization in Jiangxi has been gradually increasing since the reform period, but the comprehensive index of ecological quality and its components exhibit different trends. The indices of ecological level and ecological resistance capacity show a similar pattern as the comprehensive index of ecological quality and exhibit a "U"-shaped curve, but the index of ecological pressure demonstrates periodic variation. The econometric results reveal that there are long-term relationships between indices of urbanization level and the indices of ecological pressure and ecological response, but there is not an integrated relationship between the indices of urbanization level and the index of ecological level. Also, the comprehensive level of urbanization shows Granger Causality between comprehensive ecological quality, ecological pressure and ecological response, but there is no relationship of Granger Causality between the comprehensive level of urbanization and the state of the ecological environment. Environmental effects result from not only the urbanization process, but also include the comprehensive quality of the ecological environment, ecological pressure and response. The negative impacts of urbanization have less effect than the positiv

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期刊信息
  • 《资源科学》
  • 中国科技核心期刊
  • 主管单位:中国科学院
  • 主办单位:中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
  • 主编:成升魁
  • 地址:北京安定门外大屯路甲11号
  • 邮编:100101
  • 邮箱:zykx@igsnrr.ac.cn
  • 电话:010-64889446
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1007-7588
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:11-3868/N
  • 邮发代号:82-4
  • 获奖情况:
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 日本日本科学技术振兴机构数据库,中国中国人文社科核心期刊,中国中国科技核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2004版),中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2014版),中国北大核心期刊(2000版)
  • 被引量:42316