中文摘要：

基于我国1997年-2013年的省际面板数据,采用工具变量两阶段最小二乘法（2SLS）深入研究农村城镇化对农业产业结构的影响。结果表明,农村城镇化显著降低了农业、林业和服务业的比重。具体而言,城镇化率每提高1个单位,将使农业、林业和农林牧渔服务业的比重分别下降0.264、0.121和0.044个百分点;与此不同的是,农村城镇化显著提高了牧业比重,但是对渔业比重没有明显影响。这意味着,农村城镇化促进了农业产业结构由低收入弹性产业向高收入弹性产业的动态转移。进一步分地区的回归研究发现,城镇化对农业产业结构的影响存在显著的地域差异,特别是对农业而言,农村城镇化对沿海地区农业比重的抑制作用明显大于内陆地区。

英文摘要：

Based on the provincial panel data from 1997 to 2013,this paper studies the effect of urbanization in rural areas on agricultural industrial structure by using the method of IV-2SLS. The empirical results show that,urbanization in rural areas significantly decreases the share of planting,forestry and agricultural services industries in the agricultural economy,and more specifically,with urbanization rate increasing by1%,the share of planting,forestry and agricultural services industries will decrease by 0. 264%,0. 121%and 0. 044% respectively. By contrast,urbanization in rural areas significantly raises the share of animal husbandry,but has no significant effect on fishery,which means that urbanization in rural areas promotes the adjustment of agricultural industrial structure from low-income elasticity industry to high-income elasticity industry. Furthermore,this paper studies the issue based on disparate regions and finds that in different regions there is a significant difference in the effect of urbanization in rural areas on agricultural industrial structure. Especially to the planting,the degree of inhibition on planting share from urbanization in rural coastal areas is more than that in hinterland areas.