利用人口普查和1%人口抽样调查等数据,对重庆的人口老龄化现状特征进行分析,并利用Preston模型分解老龄化影响因素。研究发现:重庆虽然地处西部,但已成为全国老年人口比例最高的地区;重庆常住人口占全国人口的比例下降,但人口流动规模在不断增加,且省际人口流出数量要大于流入数量;2010年重庆人口平均年龄增加1.1638岁,高于人口老龄化速度,主要是由于省际人口流出规模较大造成的。
Mainly using the population census and plores the characteristics of aging in Chongqing and the 1% population sampling data, this paper ex- decomposes the influence factors on its regional aging on the base of Preston model. It is found that: although Chongqing is located in the west of China, it has the highest proportion of elderly population; the proportion of the resident population is decli- ning, while the number of the floating population is increasing, and the outflow is more than the in- flow; the aging speed increased by 1. 163 8 years in 2010, and is higher than the ones in a closed soci- ety, which is due to the relatively large scale of outflow population.