“丝绸之路经济带”战略实施三年以来,西部地区各级政府越来越重视本区域资源、环境、经济、社会四部分的协调与可持续发展。在相关研究的基础上构建呼和浩特市可持续发展评价指标体系,收集并整理2002—2014年的相关数据,运用熵值-TOPSIS法和ARIMA-BP模型对可持续发展进行评价与预测。结果表明:现阶段呼和浩特市可持续发展体系中资源节约水平相对平稳,经济发展速度最快,环境友好程度次之,社会进步水平稳定增长;未来六年,资源节约水平有较大改善,经济发展速度、环境友好程度和社会进步水平迅速增长,达到较好水平,呼和浩特市可持续水平向好的方向有所改善。
The "silk road economic belt" strategy implementation for three years, the western region at all levels of government paid more and more attention to the regional resources, environment, economy, society, balanced and sustainable development of four parts. Based on the scholars at home and abroad for the reference, on the urban sustainable development and ecological civilization, on the basis of Hohhot as the research object, by constructing evaluation index system of sustainable development, this paper collected and organized the related data from 2002 to 2014, using the En- tropy - TOPSIS method and ARIMA - BP model to evaluate and prediction the sustainable development of Hohhot. The results showed that : At pr- esent, Hohhot sustainable development system, resources saving level was relatively stable, economic development was the fastest, second degree of en- vironment was friendly, social progress level was steady growth. In the next six years, Hohhot system of sustainable development, resource saving level was improved substantially, the speed of economic growth, invironmental friendly and social progress were stable in the advanced state of sustainable level. In conclusion, the sustainable state was for the better improvement.