西部省会城市在发展特征方面存在诸多相似性,本文探讨西部省会城市发展动力机制的研究方法。以西宁市为研究案例,运用多元回归等量化方法,从宏观、中观、微观分层提取代表政府、企业、个人3类主体的行为选择影响因子,基于因子及因子间的互动关系建构起"政府—企业—个人"互动分析框架;运用所建构的框架对西宁的城市发展特征进行解析,进而试图对城市发展的路径做出解释。最后基于发展路径解释,分层次探讨了规划应对策略。
Numerous similarities in urbanization can be found among provincial capital cities in Western China. In the case of Xining, combing the historical process and analyzing the urbanization dynamic characteristic, it's found that the driving subjects of urbanization of Xining change from circulatory the market and the government to multiple ones, with both internal and external factors. Based on series data from 2000 to 2010, an interaction model concerning "government-business-individuals" is established. Based on the analysis of driving forces, it explains the dynamic mechanisms of urbanization. Specifically,the paper explains the interactions among governments, businesses and individuals,how they promote the urbanization process and the formation of current urbanization pattern in Xining City-Region. Current characteristics and mechanisms of urbanization development of Xining are explained using the model. Finally, conclusions are drawn that the urbanization development of Xining is external-dependent, investment-dependent and economic-growth-oriented, thus has structural defects of biased orientations, structural contradictions and weak feedback from micro level. To optimize the structure, policy directions are also discussed for further urbanization development.