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中文摘要：
以2005-2009年中国262个地级以上城市为样本,采用面板数据模型,分析城市自然、人文环境条件对我国城市家庭直接能耗碳排放的影响.结果表明：经济因素对我国城市家庭直接能耗碳排放的影响强度和广度最大,气候条件影响城市家庭取暖、降温用能碳排放量,建成区面积对城市家庭交通碳排放产生正向拉动作用,能耗结构在一定程度上对碳排放起到调节作用,低碳技术调节作用尚未显现.研究认为,通过调整能源供应结构、控制建成区面积、推广使用低碳技术产品降低城市家庭直接能耗碳排放量.
英文摘要：
Households’ carbon emissions from direct energy consumption make great contribute to the city’s carbon emissions.Total 262 prefectural-level cities were set as samples.The impact of city’s natural and humanistic environment conditions on households’ carbon emissions from direct energy consumption were analyzed by using panel data model.Empirical results indicate that effects of economic factors are the greatest.Climate conditions determine the energy quantity demanded for heating and cooling.Urban built-up area makes a positive impact on households’ traffic carbon emissions.Energy consumption structure adjusts households’ carbon emission to a certain degree.Regarding to the implication of policy,the government should adjust the energy supply structure,control Urban built-up area,promote the use of low carbon technology products,which can reduce urban households’ direct carbon emissions.
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