本文以四川、湖南和湖北三省四个水库移民安置区共318份调查问卷为基础,以安置区居民土地流转意愿为因变量,以性别、年龄、职业类型、安置区距离省会城市的距离、家庭人口、劳动力人数等13个因素为自变量,通过建立logistic模型,对水库移民安置区居民的土地流转意愿进行了实证研究,研究结果显示:①随着农民教育年限的增加,其土地转出有增强倾向。因受教育程度越高,其外出打工就业的几率就越高,有较为稳定的非农收入,土地已不再是生活的主要保障,他们更愿意将土地流转出去而获取一定的补偿;②家庭劳动力人数对土地转出有反向作用,劳动力人数越多,越不愿意转出土地。而家庭总人数和农业人口数并不能真实地反映一个家庭的土地需求,对土地转出意愿影响并不显著;③家庭收入中农业收入比重越大,说明对农业依赖程度越高,越不愿意转出土地;④家庭总人数和农业人口数并不能准确反映农户对土地的真实需求,因而对土地流转意愿的影响并不显著。为了实现移民安置区土地的主动流转,建议采取5项措施。
Under administrative intervention, land circulation in reservoir immigration resettlements has violated related laws. Examining factors affecting residents' willingness to transfer their land in reservoir immigration resettlements is meaningful to promote the land circulation in resettlement areas from a passive mode to a relatively active way. Compared to the general land circulation in rural areas, land circulation in reservoir immigration resettlements show unique characteristics in many aspects, such as circulation aim, circulation significance, and govemment involvement. In this study, 318 questionnaires were obtained, covering 4 reservoir immigration resettlements within Sichuan, Hunan, and Hubei provinces. The design of the questionnaire took willingness as a dependent variable but other 13 factors as independent variables, e.g., gender, age, occupational type, distance from resettlements to provincial capital, household size, and labor force. By establishing a logistic model, the authors performed an empirical study on the willingness to land circulation of local residents in reservoir resettlements. Conclusions were drawn as follows. 1) With increasing years of farmers' education, they are more inclined to transfer its land. The possible reason is that for migrant workers, the higher level of their education, the more access to work opportunities. Once these people have relatively more stable non-agricultural income, land is no longer its primary living guarantee and thus they are more willing to transfer its land to gain certain compensation. 2) The number of household labor force can result in an opposite effect on land transfer, i.e., the more labor force, the more farmers reluctant to transfer its land. 3) The greater proportion of the agricultural income to the household income, the greater reliance on agriculture farmers, and thus more reluctant to transfer its land. 4) Household size and the number of agricultural population do not accurately reflect farmers' real needs for land. The