中文摘要：

采用1996年-2008年相关统计资料,引入边际效应理论,构建了基于建设用地增长的经济、社会和环境边际效应的土地利用总体规划可持续性评价指标体系,并从土地利用总体规划可持续度、经济社会环境协调度、区域差异度3个方面,对江苏省土地利用总体规划（2006年-2020年）的可持续性进行了分析,结果表明：①2010年-2020年规划方案和零方案下,苏锡常、宁镇扬泰、通盐连、徐宿淮4个评价单元可持续度均有所下降,但规划方案可持续度分值高于零方案;②至2020年,规划方案与零方案相比,江苏省及各评价单元内部经济、社会、环境各子系统协调度明显提高;③2020年规划方案下土地利用可持续度相对变化率的区域间差异较小。总之,江苏省土地利用总体规划修编充分考虑了土地利用效益结构均衡、土地资源区域公平配置和公平代际转移的可持续利用的思想。

英文摘要：

Using statistical data of Jiangsu Province from 1996 to 2008,the author introduced the theory of marginal effect and established a theoretical model on sustainability evaluation of land use general planning.On the basis of this theoretical model,an index system on sustainability evaluation of land use general planning was built by accounting for the marginal effect of construction land expansion,containing economy,society and environment.Subsequently,the model was applied to Jiangsu Province during the period 2006-2020,and the province was generally divided into four evaluation units：Suzhou,Wuxi,Changzhou;Nanjing,Zhenjiang,Yangzhou,Taizhou;Nantong,Yancheng,Lianyungang;and Xuzhou,Suqian,Huaian.Moreover,the concepts of sustainable development degree（LSD）,coordination degree of economy,society and environment（C）and discrepancy degree of LSD among different evaluation units（D）were adopted in this paper.Results showed that：1）from 2010 to 2020,the LSD of the four evaluation units will decrease under either the project zero or the plan program,but the score of LSD under the plan program is higher than that of the project zero in 2020;2）in comparison with project zero,The coordination degree of economy,society and environment（C）under the plan program will achieve more harmonious development in the four evaluation units in 2020.Particularly,the overall level of Jiangsu province will increase to 1.5097 under the plan program while increasing to 1.4778 under project zero in 2020;and 3）the regional discrepancy degree of relative changing rate of LSD（D）is becoming smaller under the plan program in 2020 than is under project zero.The above results showed that compared with the project zero,the program of land use general planning of Jiangsu Province during 2006-2020 places much more emphasis on sustainable development,such as structural balanced development of land use efficiency,inter-regional equity of land resources allocation,and intergenerational equity of land transfer.The proposed method ca