在提出城镇上山压力概念的同时构建了城镇上山压力指标体系,并进一步运用层次分析法、德尔菲法和综合模糊评价法测算和分析了2020年云南各州(市)的压力等级。研究结果表明:①由于耕地资源、人口、经济发展水平、农村社会发展不同,云南省城镇上山压力存在明显的空间非均衡性;②将云南城镇上山压力分为4个等级:I等超高压主要位于滇中中部地区,Ⅱ等高压主要分布于滇中西部和东部、滇东南西部以及滇西南南部,Ⅲ等中压主要分布于滇中中部、滇西南大部分地区、滇西北的东部地区和滇东北北部,Ⅳ等低压主要分布于滇东南的东部和滇西北的西北部;③通过差异化的上山政策可以缩小城镇上山压力的非均衡性差距,云南省未来城镇上山的重点区域主要集中在滇中中东部、滇东南西部以及滇西南南部。
The concept of pressure was put forward in this paper, and the "Building Urban Projects on Mountains" pressure indicator system was built up. The pressure level of Yunnan Provinces' s "Building Urban Projects on Mountains" in 2020 was analyzed and estimated at the municipal level by the methods of analytic hier- archy process, Delphi method and the comprehensive fuzzy evaluation. The results show that : 1 ) The "Building Ur- ban Projects on Mountains" pressure in Yunnan exists obvious unbalance on the space, because the cultivated land resources, population, economic development level and the rural social development are different. 2) The article divided pressure level into four ranks: Ultra high pressure level I mainly in the middle of central region of Yun- nan; High pressure level Ⅱ mainly distributed in the west and east of central region of Yunnan,the west of south- east Yunnan and the south of southwest Yunnan; Medium pressure level Ⅲ is mainly distributed in the middle of central region of Yunnan, the northwest of southwest Yunnan, the east of the northwest Yunnan and the north of northeast Yunnan ; Low pressure level Ⅳ mainly distributed in the east of southeast Yunnan, the northwest of north- west Yunnan and the central of southwest Yunnan. 3) The paper argues that the obvious unbalance of "Building Ur- ban Projects on Mountains" pressure can be narrowed by differentiated policy, so according to the research, the fu- ture focus area of "Building Urban Projects on Mountains" are mainly concentrated in the eastern Yunnan, the west of southeast Yunnan and the south of southwest Yunnan.