国家影响力能否影响一国的对外贸易?形象更优的国家是否能获得更好的出口业绩?本文使用BBC发布的国家影响力全球民调数据来衡量国家形象,将该变量纳入引力模型,考察2006-2013年间其对17个出口国向46个进口国行业层面出口的影响。实证结果表明:良好的国家形象可以显著促进一国的出口,更好地获得进口国的认可和青睐;将该影响进一步分解到出口的集约边际和扩展边际,发现国家形象更优的国家不仅出口的数量更多,出口的产品种类也更多,也更容易进入海外市场;国家形象对出口的影响也具有行业及产品差异性,其对消费品出口的影响程度最大,对制成品、异质品也有较大影响。
Does a country's power have an effect on its foreign trade? Does a higher country evaluation promote one's export performance? In this paper, a brand-new variable called country image is measured by global influence of World Opinion Poll conducted by BBC and introduced into traditional gravity model. We intend to evaluate how country images affect 17 countries' exports to 46 importers between 2006 to 2013 in the industrial level. Empirical evidence shows that a good national image can significantly promote the exports of a country and better access to the recognition and favor of importing countries. While further decomposing the exports into intensive and extensive margin, we find that countries with better image perform better not only in quantities but al- so in varieties. In addition, the impact of country image is varied with different types of export goods, and data shows it has the largest impact on consumer goods, and it also has a great impact on manufacture goods and heterogeneity goods.