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伽玛暴数据处理中的贝叶斯方法
  • ISSN号:1000-8349
  • 期刊名称:《天文学进展》
  • 时间:0
  • 分类:P172.3[天文地球—天文学]
  • 作者机构:[1]北京师范大学天文系,北京100875
  • 相关基金:国家自然科学基金(NSFC11173024,NSFC10778716);973项目(2009CB824800);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金
中文摘要:

贝叶斯推断是建立在贝叶斯定理上的一种参数估计方法。根据贝叶斯定理,当根据经验,对待估计的参量0的分布密度p(θ)(称为“验前分布”)有所了解时,在给定观测数据D的情况下,可以计算出待估参数θ的“验后分布”——p(θ|D)。p(θ|O)反映了观测结果对p(θ)的修正。所有贝叶斯统计推断都是以验后分布为基础的。贝叶斯估计法是数据分析中的有力工具,其在伽玛暴(GRBs)数据分析窗口展现了多方面的应用,例如分析光变结构,确定参数分布,检验是否存在某种谱线特征,比较和选取模型,等等。

英文摘要:

Bayesian method is based on Bayes' Theorem in which one deems it sensible to consider a probability distribution function (pdf) for the unknown parameter θ, p(θ), called the "prior" pdf for θ. p(θ) reflects our knowledge before observation. We let p(θ|D) be the "posterior" pdf of θ (given the data D), which reflects our modified beliefs after incorporating the results of the observation. All Bayesian inferences are based on the posterior distribution. Bayesian approach is a powerful tool for the gamma ray bursts (GRBs) data analysis, such as analyzing structure in photon counting data, combining different lightcnrves, determining various parameters' distributions, testing if there is spectral line, and so on. During the last decade, more and more astronomers realized the potential of the Bayesian ap- proach. Our aim here is not to provide a detailed explanation of Bayesian theory but rather to show what we have learned from GRBs data analysis by using Bayesian approach. As a comparison, we first give a brief introduction to frequentist approach and Bayesian approach. Then, we present spe- cific examples to study various characteristics of GRBs by using Bayesian method. We emphasize the following aspects: using the BIC (Bayesian information criterion) to select model, using BB (Bayesian block) analysis to find optimal change-points in GRBs light curves, using Bayesian fit method to estimate GRBs peak energy, using this method to extend the Hubble diagram to a very high redshift. Bayesian approach has two mainly usages in GRBs data analysis: model selection and parameter estimation. To some degrees, Bayesian approach requires a great deal of thought about the given situation to apply sensibly, therefore, it seemed to need more techniques and experiences.

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期刊信息
  • 《天文学进展》
  • 中国科技核心期刊
  • 主管单位:中国科学院
  • 主办单位:中国科学院上海天文台 中国天文学会
  • 主编:沈志强
  • 地址:上海市南丹路80号406
  • 邮编:200030
  • 邮箱:twxjz@shao.ac.cn
  • 电话:021-34775108
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1000-8349
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:31-1340/P
  • 邮发代号:4-819
  • 获奖情况:
  • 1996年在第2届上海市优秀科技期刊评比中获得3等奖...,获得2011年上海市新闻出版局组织的期刊审读优秀奖
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 日本日本科学技术振兴机构数据库,中国中国科技核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2004版),中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2014版),中国北大核心期刊(2000版)
  • 被引量:1404