在回顾总结关于应急疏散理论与系统设计研究现状的基础上,考虑灾害应对的不确定性与复杂性,提出基于情景的社区应急疏散管理系统框架。该系统结构在基本应急疏散管理及数据集成的基础上,构建致灾因子、疏散对象与抗灾因子的三类模块,对社区疏散系统功能与架构作出再设计,并结合案例推理技术辅助疏散方案的生成与修正。
In recent years, frequent happening disasters such as super-typhoon and toxic gas leakage in China seriously threaten urban community residents’ lives and property. Once the incident occurs, the first issue which should be considered is to implement safety evacuation in a short time. The emergency evacuation management is very dependent on disaster scenario. Thus, after reviewing related emergency evacuation researches on the basic theory and system design, the framework of emergency evacuation management system based on disaster scenario is proposed which considers the uncertainty and complexity of the disaster response. Based on traditional emergency evacuation management and existing data integration, three models of factors leading to disasters, object relief and factors of fighting disasters are built, and the community evacuation functions and structure redesigned. Furthermore, the case-based reasoning is employed to assist to generate and revise the emergency evacuation plan.