基于农民种粮积极性调动和粮食市场调控,利用Granger因果分析试图揭示我国农民粮食生产投入与粮价的相互关系。研究表明,农户粮食生产投入不是引起粮价波动的格兰杰原因,但粮价变动是引起农户粮食生产投入变动的格兰杰原因。
Based on arousing the enthusiasm of the farmers to grow grain and grain market regulation,the relationship between the grain production input of Chinese peasants and grain price was revealed in the article using Granger causality test.The results showed that farmers input in grain production was not grain price fluctuations’ Granger cause,while the variation of grain price was the production inputs’ Granger cause.