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2000-2014年中国重特大煤矿事故时空分布分形特征
  • ISSN号:1560-8999
  • 期刊名称:《地球信息科学学报》
  • 时间:0
  • 分类:P596[天文地球—地球化学;天文地球—地质学]
  • 作者机构:[1]中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所资源与环境信息系统国家重点实验室,北京100101, [2]中国科学院大学,北京100049
  • 相关基金:国家自然科学基金项目(41374061,41574036,41130419)
中文摘要:

本文汇总整理了2000-2014年中国发生的472起重特大煤矿事故,获得其空间分布状况;基于分形理论,利用网格法统计不同网格尺度下覆盖重特大煤矿事故的非空网格中的事故数量,计算煤矿事故的全国、三大自然地理区以及干湿分区的分维值,分析其空间分布分形特征;利用R/S方法研究15年来重特大煤矿事故发生的时间分形特征。研究表明,从全国范围来看,重特大煤矿事故具有较好的空间分形特性,但不同区域的重特大煤矿事故的分形特性却具有很大差别。15年来发生重特大事故数量及事故死亡人数逐年下降,由R/S分析得到的Hurst指数表明事故时间序列的分形特征客观存在,并且年发生事故数量及事故死亡人数量减少趋势。

英文摘要:

The frequent occurrence 0f coal mine accidents has brought great losses to people's lives and threatened the safety of our country and residents. The fractal theory is a newly developed subject in recent years, and it has been turned into a powerful tool to describe the nonlinear problems. In this paper, analyses and discussions on the fractal characteristics of the temporal-spatial distribu- tion and relativity as well as the regularity of the temporal distribution of the national catastrophic coal mine accidents from 2000 to 2014 in China have been calculated using the relevant methods of fractal theory. Firstly, based on previous studies, this paper sum- marized the coal mine accidents occurred between 2000 and 2014 in China and obtained the time of occurrence, latitude and longi- tude for each coal mine accident, Secondly, the grid method is used to measure the number of accidents in grids which cover the ar- ea of the coal mine accidents at different grid scale levels, including scales for the national wide region, the three dominating physi- cal geographical regions and the arid and humid regions. We firstly numerate the accidents in every grid and calculate the informa- tion content for different grid scales. Then, a linear fit for the log~thms of the information content and grid scale is calculated, and as a result the absolute value of the line slope is taken as the fractal dimension. Finally, the Hurst exponent of the time series of the coal mine accidents is obtained by adopting the method ofresealed range analysis (RJS Analysis). Results show that the fractal char- acteristics of the spatial distribution of China's coal mine accidents are objectively existent. But the fractal dimension values of the spatial distribution of the coal mine accidents in different regions are significantly different, Between 2000 and 2014, the number of total accidents and deaths peaked at 2005, and then it decreased gradually indicating that the safety situation of China's coal mine production keeps improving. T

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期刊信息
  • 《地球信息科学学报》
  • 中国科技核心期刊
  • 主管单位:中国科学院
  • 主办单位:中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 中国地理学会
  • 主编:徐冠华
  • 地址:北京大屯路甲11号
  • 邮编:100101
  • 邮箱:sxfu@lreis.ac.cn
  • 电话:010-64888891
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1560-8999
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:11-5809/P
  • 邮发代号:82-919
  • 获奖情况:
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 中国中国科技核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2014版)
  • 被引量:3181