金融集聚、经济发展和生态效率的互动关系显示出系统动力学耦合特征,首先建立空间面板模型验证了三指标各自的空间依赖关系和之间的互动关系,然后运用了系统动力学流率基本入树方法建模,流图中引入了空间影响因子对东、中、西三大地带的金融集聚、经济发展水平和生态效率进行仿真。结果表明:金融集聚正向作用于经济发展水平的同时使东部地带、西部地带生态效率有所提升和使中部地带生态效率有所下降;经济发展水平正向作用于金融集聚度和生态效率;生态效率正向作用于经济发展水平和反向作用于金融集聚。最后提出了东、中、西三大地带各自的生态经济演进模式。
In view of the system dynamic coupling characteristics among financial agglomeration, economic development and eco-efficiency, this paper establishes the index system and picks out the key evaluation indexes, while combining the spatial panel model and system dynamics rate-variable in-tree model, as the spatial impact factors are introduced to the process of the simulation about financial agglomeration, economic development and the eco-efficiency of the eastern, the central and the western. The simulation result shows that: the financial agglomeration plays a positive role in economic development and it improves eco-efficiency of the eastern and the western at the same time, the eco-efficiency decreases slightly for the central; economic development have positive effect both on financial agglomeration and eco-efficiency; eco-efficiency has a positive effect on economic development and on financial agglomeration reversely. Finally this paper proposes suitable evaluating model of the eastern, the central and the western respectively.