本文运用2000--2010年的省际面板数据,采用PMG面板误差修正方法对城乡收入差距与分项消费的示范效应进行了细致的计量分析,并由此得出结论:(1)农村总消费受到的来自城市的示范效应相当显著,在分项消费上示范效应存在于文教、娱乐用品及服务支出,其次是医疗保健支出、家庭设备及服务支出、交通和通讯支出,而食品支出以及衣着支出的城乡联动机制并不明显,居住支出的相关性甚至为负,并且在长短期效应上存在差异;(2)城乡收入差距对总消费水平的示范效应起反向作用,但是对食品、交通通讯支出具有微弱的正向作用。最后本文基于上述研究提出相关政策建议。
This paper employs PMG panel error correction method to make a detailed econometric analysis of urban-rural income disparity and the demonstration effect of classified consumption based on the provincial panel data from 2000 to 2010. It reaches the conclusions as follows: firstly, the urban demonstration effect on total rural consumption is quite significant, which works mainly through consumption related to culture and education, and entertainment products and services, and secondly through consumption related to medical care, household appliances and services, and transportation and communication, but the urban-rural interaction mechanism of consumption related to food and clothing is not significant, while the urban-rural correlation of consumption related to housing is even negative; in addition, long-term demonstration effect differs from short-term one; secondly, urban-rural income disparity plays a inverse role in the demonstration effect of total consumption level, but weakly positive roles in consumption related to food and transportation and communication. Finally, based on the study abovementioned, it raises relevant policy suggestions.