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信用贷款挤兑模型
  • ISSN号:1007-9807
  • 期刊名称:管理科学学报
  • 时间:2012.10.10
  • 页码:85-96
  • 分类:F832[经济管理—金融学]
  • 作者机构:[1]西安交通大学公共政策与管理学院,西安710049, [2]西安交通大学管理学院,西安710049
  • 相关基金:国家自然科学基金资助项目(70673077;71071127).
  • 相关项目:担保链危机:形成机制与防范措施研究
作者: 张胜|李鹏翔|
中文摘要:

自DiamondandDybvig(1983)以来,贷款挤兑作为公司金融领域的一种流动性危机,一直被认为是银行挤兑的另一版本.然而贷款挤兑中企业并不完全遵守银行挤兑文献中的前提假设,即“先到先服务”规则.尽管银行认为企业应该如此,但企业在应对挤兑时出于自利会重新调整还贷顺序,并利用这种选择权与银行进行私下协商,达成串谋均衡以求终止挤兑.与以往的银行挤兑文献不同,信用贷款挤兑中不仅存在共赢均衡和挤兑均衡,而且还存在介于两者之间的串谋均衡.企业与部分银行能否实现串谋,关键在于企业能否追加足够的信用保证.本文解释了贷款挤兑的机制,将Diamond.Dybvig的银行挤兑范式扩展到了不满足顺次服务约束时三方博弈的情形.当企业完全遵循“先到先服务”规则或无法实现串谋时,结果与Diamond.Dybvig模型相同.

英文摘要:

Since Diamond and Dybvig (1983), it has been considered that loan runs as a liquidity crises in corporate finance are another version of bank runs. However, in loan runs, firms do not completely comply with the first-come, first-serve rule that is a basic assumption in most of the literatures on bank runs. Although banks usually believe firms should do so, the self-serving firm in loan runs will change its repayment order and use this option in private consultation with lenders in order to reach a collusion to terminate the loan run. What is differentiated from the previous literatures on bank runs is that there exists a third equilibrium of collusion which is between the win-win equilibrium and the loan-run equilibrium in fiduciary loan runs. The key to realize the collusion equilibrium is whether or not the firm can provide enough banks with additional and sufficient credit guarantee. Our research provides a new insight into bank runs and expands the Diamond-Dybvig bank run paradigm to the tripartite game situation with sequential service constraint not being satisfied. If firms in loan runs completely follow the above rule or the collusion equilibrium can not be achieved, our results will be the same as what Diamond-Dybvig model has predicted.

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期刊信息
  • 《管理科学学报》
  • 北大核心期刊(2011版)
  • 主管单位:国家自然科学基金委员会
  • 主办单位:国家自然科学基金委员会管理科学部
  • 主编:郭重庆
  • 地址:天津大学25教学楼A区908室
  • 邮编:300072
  • 邮箱:jmstju@263.net
  • 电话:022-27403197
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1007-9807
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:12-1275/G3
  • 邮发代号:6-89
  • 获奖情况:
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 日本日本科学技术振兴机构数据库,中国中国人文社科核心期刊,中国中国科技核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2004版),中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2014版)
  • 被引量:22041