中文摘要：

通过分析2005年北京市居民出行调查数据,构造通勤者上班出行方式选择和出行链类型选择相互影响的NestedLogit模型,分别建立出行方式→出行链和出行链→出行方式两个方向模型结构,采用统计软件STATA9.0对模型进行标定,并利用包容系数对Nested Logit模型的结构关系进行辨识。结果表明,出行方式选择和出行链类型选择之间不是单方向影响关系,而是一种双向的相互作用关系;出行链→出行方式选择决策较为合理,反应通勤者倾向于首先考虑如何组织当天要参加的各种活动,然后在出行链安排的约束下考虑选择合适的出行方式。

英文摘要：

Based on the analysis of data drawn from the 2005 Beijing Household Travel Survey,a Nested Logit model was applied to construct the interdependent model between commuters＇ trip chain and travel model choices.The model structures in the direction from travel mode to trip chain and in the opposite direction were set up.Then,the models were calibrated with help of STATA 9.0 statistic software,and the structure of the Nested Logit model was identified by using inclusive value parameter.The result shows that the relationship between travel mode and trip chain choices is not unidirectional but bidirectional.The decision-making from trip chain to travel mode is relatively reasonable,reflecting that commuters are adept to think about the daily activity at first and then to choose an appropriate travel mode under the constraints of trip chain.