TRIZ是解决创新性问题的理论和方法。文章介绍了TRIZ理论中基于S-曲线的技术成熟度预测方法,依据专利数量、性能、获利能力和专利等级4个尺度变量来评估一项技术的成熟度。文中首次将该方法应用于液晶显示技术,对液晶显示技术的发展具有重要指导意义。通过检索并统计相关数据,建立了时间-专利数曲线和时间-销售额曲线,将这两条曲线与TRIZ理论中的标准曲线进行对比分析,得到了液晶显示技术的技术成熟度预测结果。
TRIZ is a theory and method to solve innovation problems.A method of technology maturity mapping based on the S-curve of TRIZ theory was introduced in this paper.The technology maturity is determined by performance,the number of patents,level of patents and profitability four scale variables.This method was firstly applied to LCD technology,which is of important guiding significance to its development.After retrieval and statistics of relevant data,two curves of Time-Number of LCD Patents and Time-Value of LCD Sales were established.Then a comparative analysis of these two curves and standard curves of TRIZ was made.Consequently,the technology maturity of LCD was achieved.