介绍了完全样本下极大似然估计法、矩估计法、相关系数优化法、概率权重矩法、灰色模型法、双线性回归法等常用的3参数威布尔分布的参数估计方法,提出了极大似然估计的一种新解法,从相关系数、Theil不等系数、对数似然函数值3个方面比较了各种方法的差异.不同容量的样本实例计算表明,小样本情况下各估计法的差别较大,而大样本时差别较小,灰色模型法在各种样本下均具有较高的估计精度.
Six kinds of commonly used parameter estimation methods ( maximum likelihood estimation method, moment method estimates, correlation coefficient optimization method, probability-weighted moment method, gray model method, and bilinear regression method) were introduced based on complete sample. A new algorithm method was proposed for the maxmum likelihood estimation. The differences between various methods were compared in three aspects: correlation eoefficrent. Their unequal coeffieieut and log-likehood function value. Example calculations show that the smaller the sample size is the greater the difference in estimation methods. The gray model method in a variety of samples has a higher estimation accuracy.