油库系统复杂,各指标因素之间具有不确定性。证据理论具有数据融合、处理不确定因素等特点,已广泛用于专家决策、人工智能、目标识别等领域。提出将该理论应用于油库安全评价中,应用该理论来处理因素之间的不确定性问题;运用证据融合准则研究多系统、多因素对评价对象的共同作用。实例表明,D-S证据理论是一种科学的安全评价方法,具有可行性与实用性。
Oil storage is a complex system and all factors are uncertain.The evidence theory has the features of data fusion and solving the uncertainty in factors,and it can be widely used in decision-making,artificial intelligence and target recognition.Evidence theory is applied in oil storehouse safety assessment to solve uncertainty problems among factors and the data fusion guideline is also used to analysis the combined function of multi-system and multi-factor.At last an example is given,which shows that evidence theory is a scientific and safe assessment method,with feasibility and practicability.