基于1980-2008年武威市水资源的面板数据,运用指数模型评价了其水资源的承载力,并对其总耗水量与GDP和工业总产值进行了相关性分析.结果表明:武威市水资源承载力远大于人口压力,水资源利用属于严重超负荷承载;全市水资源利用与经济发展呈较强的正相关性,但水资源匮乏制约了全市的经济发展;全市普遍存在水资源利用低效现象,可通过强化水源管理、控制水源污染、变更耕作制度、完善配水方案等措施来提高水资源利用效率.
Water is the most important resource in humans' living environment. It plays an essential role in regional economic development. This paper evaluates the bearing capacity of water resource and the correlation among total water resource, GDP and industrial production based on index model and correlation analysis. The result illustrates that the bearing capacity of water resource is much higher than population pressure in Wuwei, and the utilization of water resource is overloading. The coordination between the utilization of water resource and economic development is high, but the shortage of water resource has been the main restraint in regional economic development. Obvious phenomenon of low utilization efficiency of water resource exists in most areas of Wuwei, which can be solved by strengthening water resource management, controlling water resource pollution, changing farming style, improving water distribution scheme and so on.