文章使用中国2000-2011年的季度数据,运用动态最小二乘(DOLS)和误差修正模型(ECM),检验了金融发展与家庭金融资产投资之间的长期和短期动态关系。结果表明,在金融发展和资产收益率之间不存在明显的分工,金融发展无论是在短期和长期都会影响家庭投资组合的动态变化,其中,无论在短期和长期,股票市场发展在家庭存款和股票资产之间都产生了较强的替代效应。
Using Chinese quarterly data from 2000 to 2011, the paper examines the long-run and short-run dynamic relation be- tween financial development and household financial asset investment by dynamic ordinary least squares(DOLS) and error correction model(ECM). We find that both in the long-run or short-run, financial development affects the dynamics of household portfolios. Both in the long-run or short-run, the development of stock market has a strong substitution effect between deposits and stock assets for the household.