基于22国1995—2005年投入产出表,考察发达国家产业关联现状和时序变化,及其与服务业比重变化的关系。研究发现:世界经济服务化趋势中存在产业互促不断增强的趋势;发达国家的经济服务化,不仅可以通过"去工业化"实现,在特定的经济发展阶段,通过"再工业化",其高服务业比重还能继续得以巩固。结果表明,发达国家试图通过"再工业化"重振实体经济的愿望很难实现。
Based on 22 countries' input-output data from 1995 to 2005, the article studies the status and dynamic industrial linkages in developed countries and their relationship with service industry's proportion change. The study finds out that the service economy is positively correlated with industrial interaction. Not only the "deindustrializafion" but also the "reindustrialization" are useful to maintain the high proportion of service industry of the developed countries. The results show that the desire to revive the real economy by "reindustrialization" is difficult to achieve in developed countries