基于钱纳里经济发展阶段理论,采用空间自相关分析和单因素方差分析方法,对江西省县域经济发展的格局特征和现行主要开发战略区划的合理性进行了探讨。结果表明:①江西省县城经济发展呈现“北高南低”的空间特征,较大面积国土空间的发展滞后与赣北极少数县区的快速发展形成对比鲜明的空间格局;但前工业化阶段和工业化初期县区其经济发展水平可能被低估,而工业化后期和后工业化阶段则可能被高估;交通区位和地形影响是导致江西省现状经济发展格局的重要原因。②当前全省县域经济进入集聚发展模式,区域层面上出现了呈团块状分布、以市辖区及郊区县为主的增长极型县区,包括南昌市和新余市全域以及九江市部分县区。③现行鄱阳湖生态经济区和南昌核心增长极以及罗霄山片区扶贫开发和原赣南中央苏区振兴计划4个开发战略区可“培强扶弱”,而九江沿江开放开发、赣东北开放合作和吉泰走廊3个战略区在政策设计上需进一步结合区内各县的差别化“县情”。④将地理学研究方法与经济学理论相结合,可为区域发展的空间政策布局提供科学依据。
Based on Chenery' s economic development stage theory, the paper firstly explored the spatial pattern and phased characteristics of Jiangxi' s county-level economic development in 2013 by ESDA method, and then discussed the rationality of the existing seven regional developing strategic zones in Jiangxi using the one-way ANOVA method. The economic development of the 92 counties in Jiangxi presents a spatial pattern of more developed in north Jiangxi and less in the south. There is dramatic contrast between the developed counties and developing ones, while the former is very little and point-like distributed spatially and the later is the majority and lump-like distribu- ted spatially. And the majority of counties are still in the preliminary or medium-term phase of industrialization, which may have been underestimated. In contrast, those minority which are determined to be in their late or post industrialization stage by the GDP per capita standards, may well have been overestimated. Transportation advantages, regional topography and the possible edge effect seem to contribute to the existing spatial pattern. Jiangxi has entered into the globally agglomeration of economic development, with cloddy local growth poles, being mostly major cities' downtowns and their suburban counties, including the whole of Nanchang City, Xinyu City and part of Jiujiang City. Of the existing seven regional developing strategic zones of Jiangxi, the Poyang Lake Eco-economic Zone, Nanchang Growth Pole Zone, Luoxiao Mountain Poverty Alleviation and Economic Development Zone and Former Jiangxi Central Soviet Area Revitalization Zone are relatively reasonable, while the Jiujiang Along Yangtze River Opening-up and Economic Development Zone, Northeast Jiangxi Opening-up and Cooperation Zone and Jitai Corridor Zone need further differentiated policies for involved counties. Interdisciplinary researches combining the geographical methods with related economic theories can provide reliable basis for policy makers in promoting regional de