通过对Agosin和Mayer(2000)投资模型的修正,建立科技投入模型,分析政府科技投入对其他科技投入的挤入挤出效应;在深化模型的基础上,重点分析中央和地方政府的科技投入对其他科技投入的效应.分析结果表明:政府科技投入对其他科技投入具有挤入效应,但并不显著;中央政府的科技投入对挤入效应的贡献大于地方政府的贡献;政府对大学的科技投入具有显著的挤入效应,对科研机构和大中型企业的投入具有显著的挤出效应.
The article makes an amendment on the Agosin and Mayer (2000) investment model, establishes the S&T input model, and analyses the including and excluding effects of governmental S&T input to other S&T input. On the basis of the in-depth analysis on the models, it analyzes the effects of central government's and local governments' S&T input on other S&T input. The analysis shows that: The S&T input from government has a including effect on the other S&T input, but the effect is not very notable; the contribution of central government's S&T input to the including effect is much more significant than local governments'; the S&T input from government to the university has a significant including effect, while the input to the scientific research institutions and large and medium-sized enterprises has a significant excluding effects.