中文摘要：

由 2005 的中间，许多中国纺织品和衣服企业是不能的继续生意。因为由 WTO 成员国家，特别美国，开发国家的 EU 和一些调用的保护措施行动，例如土耳其和墨西哥，一个稳定、可预言的海外市场不再为面向出口的中国公司存在。中国将在 2005 年 1 月 1 日是在全球限额系统的消除以后的大获胜者，这实际上被预言了。什么发生在中国的纺织品和衣服工业身上？为他们的前景在以下几年是什么？用一个部分平衡分析框架，这份报纸发现中国是在在 2005 前的限额系统下面的大输家，并且那个中国将在结束那个系统以后再次是大输家。

英文摘要：

By the middle of 2005, many Chinese textile and clothing enterprises were unable to continue business. Because of the safeguard actions invoked by WTO member countries, especially the USA, the EU and some developing countries, such as Turkey and Mexico, a stable and predictable overseas market no longer exists for export-oriented Chinese firms. It had actually been predicted that China would be the big winner after the elimination of the global quota system on 1 January 2005. What has happened to China＇s textile and clothing industries？ What are the prospects for them over the next few years？ Using a partial equilibrium analysis framework, this paper finds that China was the big loser under the quota system before 2005, and that China will be the big loser once again after the ending of that system.