利用1986至2008年的运输通道年固定资产投资数据,引入信息熵理论,计算出中国能源运输通道建设规模的各年信息熵,通过分析各运输通道建设规模与信息熵值的变化关系,结合最大信息熵原理,从而明确了中国未来能源运输通道的建设重心:在保持现有铁路运输通道的投资规模的基础上,缩减公路运输通道投资,加大水运及管道运输通道建设,进一步增强中国能源运输通道建设合理性.
By calculating the information entropy for the scale of construction of energy transportation cor- ridor with the data of annual investment in the fixed assets from 1986 to 2008, the authors analyzed the relation between transportation channel and the information entropy combined with the maximum entropy methods. Empirical results show that the rail transportation investment should remain the current growth, while the road investment should be reduced, and the waterway and pipeline transportation should be constructed. The quantitative evaluation of the construction scale of energy transportation channels is an important supplement to the traditional research and provides evidence for further develop- ment.