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Zonal Mean Mode of Global Warming over the Past 50 Years
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  • 分类:P542.3[天文地球—构造地质学;天文地球—地质学] X16[环境科学与工程—环境科学]
  • 作者机构:[1]Key Laboratory of Regional Climate andEnvironmentfor Temperate East Asia, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China, [2]Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081, China
  • 相关基金:The authors extend sincere thanks to the two anonymous reviewers for their valuable suggestions. This study was jointly supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 40775048), the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No. 2006CB400504), and Key Projects in the National Science & Technology Pillar Program during the Eleventh Five-Year Plan Period (Grant No. 2007BAC294).
  • 相关项目:近30年高纬度快速增暖背景下西北非季风区气候变化机制研究
中文摘要:

带的吝啬的年度温度趋势用四分析和三分析格子数据集被估计。在土地上并且为全部地球的趋势分别地从 1958-2001 和 1979-2007 被估计。在从气候研究单位(CRU ) 分析数据的土地上的温度趋势的估计显示向北方移动的更强烈的温暖,以大约 3.5 的率 ? 慷浲匠呓愠潮慭祬椠 ? 桴 ? 散瑮慲? 攨獡整湲 ? 慐楣楦 ? 湩琠敨眠湩整 ? 氨瑡 ? 灳楲杮猭浵敭吗?

英文摘要:

Zonal mean annual temperature trends were estimated using four reanalysis and three analysis grid datasets. The trends over land and for the entire globe were estimated from 1958-2001 and 1979-2007, respectively. Estimates of temperature trends over land from Climate Research Unit (CRU) analysis data indicate more intense wanning moving northward, at a rate of about 3.5℃ per century at 65°N, then declining further to the north. CRU estimates indicated dramatic warming over the latitudes of the Antarctic Peninsula, with a localized cooling trend at 45°S. A global estimate was conducted by comparing estimates of the reanalysis datasets. Temperature distribution trends of the reanalysis data were similar to those generated by land observations but with large bias in the Polar Regions. The bias could be reduced by comparing these estimates with those from the analysis data at high latitudes. Extreme warming trends were esti- mated at rates of 2.9℃-3.5℃ per century in the Arctic and 3.2℃-4.7℃ per century in the Antarctic for 1958-2001. Surface warming was even more intense in the Northern Hemisphere for 1979-2007, with extreme arctic warming rates ranging from 8.5℃-8.9℃ per century, as estimated by the analysis and reanalysis datasets. Trends over Antarctica for this period were contradictory, as Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) reanalysis (JRA-25) indicated a cooling trend at about -7℃ per century, while other reanalysis datasets showed sharp warming over the continent.

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