为研究退耕还林工程实施十余年之后,工程对黄河与长江流域农户福祉影响的变化与差异情况。研究根据全国6个省15个县1995-1998年,2008-2012年的农户面板调查数据,采用双重差分模型(DID)比较分析了退耕还林工程对黄河与长江流域农户福祉的影响。分析表明:工程使两流域农户收入及物质需求、社会关系、安全方面的福祉有所提升,其中黄河流域的提升幅度大于长江流域,另外在农户健康、选择与行动自由方面,退耕还林对黄河流域农户的影响较为显著,但对长江流域农户的影响较小。通过退耕还林工程在黄河长江流域的影响比较分析,为进一步研究在国家投入资金有限的条件下,如何对两流域分配资金,使资金的效用最大提供依据。
Based on land use change caused by Returning Farmland to Forest Project, the study used a large unique household panel dataset covering 15 countries of 6 provinces in 1995 to 1998, 2008 to 2012 and the DID method to comparatively analyze the impacts of SLCP on the well - being of households in the Yellow and Yangtze river basins. The study found that since the implementation of Returning Farmland to Forest Project, farmer' s well - being of income, material demand, social relations and safety have changed positively and the farmer well -being in the Yellow River Basin was at a higher level than that in the Yangtze River Basin. In addition, the well - being of health and freedom for choice and action had positive growth in the Yellow River Basin, while that in the Yangtze River Basin remained steady for more than 10 years. This research is beneficial to further study how to allocate funds to the two river basins under the condition of limited investment funds and also can provide the basis for the maximum effectiveness of the funds.