中文摘要：

改革开放以来,我国水产品出口贸易发展迅速。利用2000年～2011年的面板数据,从出口总量、出口市场以及出口结构三个方面对我国水产品出口现状进行简要分析,并在此基础上运用扩展引力模型对影响因素进行实证分析。在此基础上提出应采取措施,在保留传统水产品出口市场的同时,抓住时机开发新兴的水产品出口市场。

英文摘要：

30 years since the reform and opening policy, china＇s export trade of aquatic products has developed rapidly. Using pand data of 2000-2011, this paper first briefly introduces the status of Chinese aquatic export from three aspects： the total export volume, export market and export structure, and then empirically analyzes the influencing factors under the ex- tended gravity model, finally forecasts Chinese aquatic export trade potential with 30 trading parmers in 2011. The result shows that Chinese aquatic export trade potential with 30 trading partners falls to different range, appropriate measures should be taken to preserve the traditional export market and at the same time seize the opportunity to develop emerging export market.