本文在对期货市场功能发挥和现货市场关系探讨的基础上,从期货市场发现价格和回避风险功能角度,指出农产品期货市场功能发挥所需具备的现货市场条件是:现货市场发达完善和接近完全竞争;进而实证分析影响中国农产品期货市场功能发挥的现货市场条件的因素。主要结论是中国农产品期货市场是在现货市场发育还不充分的情况下产生并发展起来的,不完善的现货市场争件是影响和制约农产品期货市场功能充分发挥的关键因素。
Based on the analysis of the relationship between futures market function and the cash market conditions, this paper reviewed the functions of price discovery and risk aversion, exploited the cash market conditions for wellfunctioning of futures market, including the development of cash market and its competition. The results of theoretical and empirical researches showed that Chinese futures market of agricultural products developed under the background of imperfect cash market, this is the key factor which influences futures market to function.