中文摘要：

针对我国总体城镇化水平尚不高，而劳动力供求关系的“拐点”抑或到来的悖论，在既有结构下运用微观分析方法探究其成因，提出流动人口群体的“不对称转移”判断，并运用“经济家庭”假说对农村人1：7迁移的微观动力机制作出理论诠释；进而从流动人口的非正式城镇化情景出发，对我国城镇化战略中的“城镇化一消费增长”前景加以辨析。在研究发现的基础上，提出若干政策议题思考。

英文摘要：

Having observed the phenomenon that the ＂Turning Point＂ in labor demand and supply has emerged while the overall urbanization rate is comparatively low in China, this paper explores the reasons causing this paradoxical issue by using the micro analysis approach, proposing that rural-urban migration in China is an ＂asymmetrical transfer＂ with relatively more young migrants in the floating population. The paper also theoretically interprets the micro dynamic mechanism of rural population by applying ＂economic family＂ hypothesis, and then analyzes the prospects of ＂urbanization - consumption growth＂ in the urbanization strategy of China from the perspective of informal urbanization of the floating population. Based on the research achievements, the paper puts forward a number of policy agendas to stimulate public thinking.