当前,世界经济总体复苏进程较为缓慢,尽管美国经济增长态势良好,但欧元区经济仍深陷于债务危机,复苏步履维艰。本文从经济增长、物价波动、失业状况和制造业发展等层面对欧美的经济现状进行分析,并基于联合国和国际货币基金组织(IMF)的预测结果对经济未来走势进行判断。本文通过计量分析,认为欧美经济增长对我国的出口增长影响很大,从而对中国经济增长将产生较大的影响。
Currently, the progress of global economy's recovery is improving slowly. The United States economy assumes a great growth trend, while Euro zone still stuck in debt crisis deeply and struggles to recover. This paper will analyzes the current situations of the economies in Europe and the United States in these respects, such as economic growth, inflation, unemployment situation and the development of the manufacturing industry, and deduce the future tendency based on the predicting outcomes of the UN and IMF. Based on econometric analysis, we conclude that economic growth of the U.S. and Europe affect the export of our country, thus will have a great influence on China.