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基于贴现率的东黄海鲐鱼动态生物经济模型分析
  • ISSN号:1007-7588
  • 期刊名称:《资源科学》
  • 时间:0
  • 分类:S937[农业科学—渔业资源;农业科学—水产科学]
  • 作者机构:[1]上海海洋大学海洋科学学院,上海201306, [2]上海海洋大学大洋生物资源可持续开发和利用上海市高校重点实验室,上海201306, [3]上海海洋大学大洋渔业资源可持续开发省部共建教育部重点实验室,上海201306
  • 相关基金:教育部博士点基金(编号:20093104110002);国家高技术研究发展计划项目(编号:2007AA092202);上海市优秀学科带头人计划(编号:10XD1402000);上海市捕捞学重点学科(编号:S30702).
中文摘要:

渔业资源是一种可再生资源,其资源的可持续利用不仅与其种群大小有关,而且还与作业规模、单位作业的经济成本和贴现率等有关。传统生物经济模型通常忽视了贴现率对渔业资源配置的影响。本文根据1999年-2009年中、日、韩三国在东黄海捕捞的鲐鱼渔获量以及生产成本数据,结合贴现率和渔获价格等数据,构建基于贴现率的东黄海鲐鱼动态生物经济模型。结果表明,贴现率为10%,30%时,短期利益占长期利益的10%~20%.渔获价格在(2327—4654)元/t时,可保证鲐鱼渔获量低于最大可持续产量,从而有效地控制捕捞强度,确保鲐鱼资源的可持续利用。

英文摘要:

Fishery resources are renewable. Previous studies were primarily focused on theoretical investigation into bio-economical models of fishery resources. Sustainable use of its resources is not only related to its population size, but also related to fishing scale, fishing cost per unit of effort, and discount rate. In the traditional bio-economical models, only two extreme cases, i.e., the discount rates are zero or infinity, are considered. However, the impact on fisheries resources by the discount rate is often ignored. In this paper, a dynamic bio-economical model was established using fishery data and fishing economic data from China, Japan, and South Korea during the period 1999-2009, and considering the effect of the discount rate on resources exploitation of Chub mackerel (Scomber japonicus) in the East China sea and Yellow sea. The dynamic bio-economical model was designed to estimate the stock and yield under different management goals. An appropriate discount rate is used to determinate the number of D accepted by current society, which is the proportion of immediate interests. The discount rate-supply curve was plotted for investigation into the development and management of fishery resources carried out in the catch prices. Results show that the fishery was generally overcatched. The declining resources would make the social and ecological benefits decrease. The discount rate ranged between 10% and 30%, and the short-term interests accounted for 10%-20% of the long-term interests. When the catch prices are 2327-4654 Yuan per ton, it can ensure that the catch of Chub mackerel is less than the maximum sustainable yield (MSY), and the fishing effort can be effectively controlled for the resources of Chub mackerel. If the fishery of Chub mackerel becomes a scarce resource in fish markets, the prices would go up due to an increasing demand. The developers might extend the production scale for financial gain. With the rapid development of catch, the base of ecological resources has been weakened. The

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期刊信息
  • 《资源科学》
  • 中国科技核心期刊
  • 主管单位:中国科学院
  • 主办单位:中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
  • 主编:成升魁
  • 地址:北京安定门外大屯路甲11号
  • 邮编:100101
  • 邮箱:zykx@igsnrr.ac.cn
  • 电话:010-64889446
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1007-7588
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:11-3868/N
  • 邮发代号:82-4
  • 获奖情况:
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 日本日本科学技术振兴机构数据库,中国中国人文社科核心期刊,中国中国科技核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2004版),中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2014版),中国北大核心期刊(2000版)
  • 被引量:42316