中文摘要：

导弹预警反击作战（ECCoM）是防御战略的重要支撑，存在作战体系建立难、效能评估不易等问题。针对导弹预警反击作战体系（ECCSoMS）建立及其效能评估问题，采用美国国防部体系结构框架建立ECCSoMS，以视图为基础进行从军事需求到作战使命、作战任务、作战能力的系统分析；利用基于证据推理算法的信度规则库推理（RIMER）方法，根据历史经验、实验数据和专家知识构造信度规则库，将多种类型的不确定性能力数据转换成统一的信度结构，实现ECCSoMS效能评估。通过示例说明方法的具体应用和优点。

英文摘要：

Early-warning and Counter-attack Combat of Missile （ECCoM） is an important support of the active defense strategy. However, it is difficult to establish the operational system and to make effectiveness evaluation. Aiming at the establishment of Early-warning and Counter-attack Combat System of Missile Systems （ECCSoMS） and its effectiveness evaluation, Department of Defense Architecture Framework （DoDAF） is used to establish the ECCSoMS, and analysis is made to the military requirements, combat missions, operational activities, operational capabilities and weapons system by the technical means of views. Effectiveness evaluation of ECCSoMS is realized by use of the belief Rule base Inference Methodology using the Evidential Reasoning （RIMER）. And the belief rule base is constructed according to historical experience, experimental data and expert knowledge, which can convert various types of uncertainty data into a unified structure reliability. With an example, the specific application and advantages of the method are illustrated.