企业出口二元边际对一国产业结构优化可能产生积极影响。在理论分析和基本事实描述的基础上,本文利用中国等9个国家的平衡面板数据,考察了一国出口企业的扩展边际和集约边际的扩张对产业结构变动的影响,结果表明:在样本期间内,出口企业集约边际的扩张有助于推动产业结构的优化转型;而出口企业扩展边际对产业结构变动不存在显著的影响。这说明,积极推动现有企业出口规模的扩张有利于贸易发展和产业结构优化升级,从而有助于跨越“中等收入陷阱”;而提高企业生产率对于维持出口贸易的平稳发展和促进产业结构进一步优化具有重要意义。
The binary margin of firm export may play a positive role on industrial structural optimization of the exporter' s country. On the basis of theoretical and stylized fact analyses, this paper constructs a robust cross-national balanced panel data model to identify the effects of the extensive and intensive margins industrial structural change. The results show that, during the sample periods, an expanded intensive margin can have a significant positive impact on industrial structural optimization, whereas an expanded extensive margin does not. This suggests that enlarging the export scale of existing exporters can be helpful for trade development and industrial structural upgrading, which is critical to avoiding the "middle-income trap" . Meanwhile, improving the exporter survival rate is cru- cial for stabilizing export development and industrial structural optimization.