基于对福建省永安市与邵武市农村农户的实地访谈和问卷调查数据,采用描述性分析和多项Logistic回归分析方法,从微观农户的角度分析其对林改实施效果的满意程度及其主要影响因素。结果显示:满意度频数呈负偏态分布,比较满意的农户群体所占比例较大;影响林改实施效果满意度的主要因素是农户对林改的了解程度、户主的年龄、林业收入比重、是否有林权证、在家务农人数、山林管护方式。不同满意程度的分析中,在低满意程度选择上,对林改项目的了解程度、林地面积、是否办有林权证、对山林的管护方式和户主的年龄是主要影响指标;但随着满意程度的增加,各组指标的概率贡献较为平均,对林改项目了解程度和山林管护方式对满意度产生较为显著的影响。
Based on field interviews and questionnaire survey data, this paper uses the method of description and multiple Logistic regression analysis to analyze the farmer households' satisfaction degree to the effect of collective forest tenure reform and analyzes its main influencing factors.The results show that the frequency of the degree to satisfaction has negatively skewed distribution. And the relatively more satisfied farmer households account for a large proportion. Then, the factor of the degree of understanding of collective forest tenure reform has the most important influence on farmer households' satisfaction.Furthermore, the factors such as the ages of farmer households, forestry income proportion of total revenue, whether to have forestry right certificates for farmer households, the number of farmers farming at home and the way to forest protection also have a certain influence. Last but not the least, various factors have different influence on the selection of different satisfaction degree. The indexes of the degree of understanding of collective forest tenure reform, forest areas, whether to have forestry right certificates for farmer households, the way to forest protection and the ages of farmer households are the main influencing factors on the aspect of low satisfaction selection. But as the increase of satisfaction degree, each index has more average contribution. The indexes of the degree of understanding of collective forest tenure reform and the way to forest protection all have a significant impact on the satisfaction of implementation effect.