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证券分析师预测偏差与审计质量
  • ISSN号:1674-2362
  • 期刊名称:《天津商业大学学报》
  • 时间:0
  • 分类:F239.1[经济管理—会计学;经济管理—国民经济]
  • 作者机构:[1]北京交通大学经济管理学院,北京100044
  • 相关基金:国家自然科学基金项目(B12A300010); 审计署重点科研课题项目(13SJ02002)
中文摘要:

证券分析师盈余预测准确性的影响因素及证券分析师盈余预测经济后果的研究引起了国内外学者的关注。基于沪深两市A股2011年和2012年证券分析师盈余预测数据,研究证券分析师预测偏差对审计质量及审计质量对证券分析师预测偏差的影响,结果发现:证券分析师预测的偏差越大,公司高管越有倾向购买审计意见,降低审计质量;年度报告的盈余管理程度越高,证券分析师预测的偏差越大,并且向上盈余管理程度加大证券分析师预测的正向偏差,即实际每股收益大于预测每股收益,证券分析师预测过于悲观;向下盈余管理程度加大证券分析师预测的负向偏差,即实际每股收益小于预测每股收益,证券分析师预测过于乐观。

英文摘要:

The research on factors of stock analyst's earnings forecast accuracy and economic consequences of analyst's earnings forecast has attracted the attention of scholars at home and abroad. Based on the A-share analyst' s earnings fore- cast data of 2011 and 2012 in the two stock exchanges of Shanghai and Shenzhen, the paper studies both the impacts of stock analyst's forecast deviation on audit quality and the impacts of audit quality on stock analyst's forecast deviation. The findings are as follows: the greater the analyst's forecast deviation is, the more inclined the company executive is to purchase audit opinion, which lowers audit quality; the higher the degree of earnings management is in annual report, the greater the analyst' s forecast deviation is, and upward earnings management degree increases analyst' s positive fore- cast deviation, that' s to say, the actual earnings per share are greater than the forecast earnings per share and analyst' s forecast is too pessimistic; and downward earnings management degree increases analyst's negative forecast deviation, that's to say, the actual earnings per share are less than the forecast earnings per share and analyst's forecast is too opti- mistic.

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期刊信息
  • 《天津商业大学学报》
  • 主管单位:天津市教委
  • 主办单位:天津商业大学
  • 主编:刘书翰
  • 地址:天津市北辰区光荣道409号
  • 邮编:300134
  • 邮箱:xb@tjcu.edu.cn
  • 电话:022-26667507
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1674-2362
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:12-1401/F
  • 邮发代号:6-26
  • 获奖情况:
  • 天津市一级期刊,天津市期刊整体设计奖,全国商业高校优秀学报一等奖,RCCSE全国优秀社科学报,全国优秀社科学报
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 中国中国人文社科核心期刊,中国国家哲学社会科学学术期刊数据库
  • 被引量:1485